Elizabeth Eviction Risk: High
Tract 34039030704 · Union County, NJ · pop 2,696
Tract 34039030704 sits in Elizabeth eviction risk, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.1/10. Cost burden runs 30% here against 44.6% across Union County.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Elizabeth and the region
Centroid at 40.6580, -74.2174 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elizabeth scores 9.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Elizabeth compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 58%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 89%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.4%Housing insecurity
- 14.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.1%Food insecurity
- 20.1%SNAP enrollment
- 14.6%Transit barriers
- 29.1%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 33.1%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Elizabeth
Against the Union County average of 6.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.
Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $54,665, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Food insecurity runs 32.1% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 26.4% against 14.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.
Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 7.5/10. At $1,765 a month, rents run 16% over what the rest of Elizabeth commands. Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Union Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #3,797 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 3.1 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 34039030704
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039030704?
What is the average rent in tract 34039030704?
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039030704?
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039030704?
What share of households in tract 34039030704 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 34039030704 compare to Elizabeth overall?
Was tract 34039030704 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Elizabeth
Top eight tracts in Elizabeth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.