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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,797 of 84,120 nationally

Port Ivory Eviction Risk: High , Elizabeth

Tract 34039030200 · Union County, NJ · pop 3,636 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 34039030200 covers part of the Port Ivory area of Elizabeth, NJ, and scores 9.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,636 residents. Adults with no health insurance runs 37.0% against 11.3% nationally.

Risk score
9.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 32% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units1,111
Renter share73.4%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate19.8%
Median income$65,169

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Port Ivory
Very High
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 31 tracts In Elizabeth
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 120 tracts In Union County
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#166 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elizabeth and the region

Centroid at 40.6571, -74.1922 · click any tract to drill in

Why Port Ivory scores 9.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
19.8% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,818 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elizabeth
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0

How Port Ivory compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Port Ivory risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.1This tracttract 0302007.7Elizabethparent city6.6Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 528Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 17.91%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.1%Peak (2013)
  • 117Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34039030200
Filings dropped 26% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Port Ivory. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Port Ivory

Housing insecurity runs 36.4% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 2.5 points above the Union County average of 6.6. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.

56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Union County average of 44.6%. This is renter territory: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Set annual rent against average income of $65,169 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.

At $1,818 a month, rents run 19% over what the rest of Elizabeth commands. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 528 filings here across 4 tracked years.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039030200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039030200?

Census tract 34039030200 in the Port Ivory neighborhood scores 9.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34039030200?

Median gross rent is $1,818/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039030200?

19.8% of residents in tract 34039030200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,636.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039030200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 81th, minority 99th, housing 78th.
Q5

Is tract 34039030200 considered part of Port Ivory?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34039030200 fall within Port Ivory (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039030200?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 528 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039030200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.91% of renter households, peaking at 21.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34039030200 struggle to pay rent?

About 36.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34039030200 compare to Elizabeth overall?

Tract 34039030200 scores 9.1/10, higher than the parent city of Elizabeth at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34039030200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 83% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elizabeth

Top eight tracts in Elizabeth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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