Within neighborhood
40
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #2,438 of 84,120 nationally
Port Ivory Eviction Risk: Elevated , Elizabeth
Tract 34039030200 · Union County, NJ · pop 3,636 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
In the Port Ivory neighborhood of Elizabeth, census tract 34039030200 scores 7.4/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #1,723 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 56% of renter households, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,818 a month while the average household earns $65,169 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 73% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units1,111
Renter share73.4%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate19.8%
Median income$65,169
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elizabeth and the region
Centroid at 40.6571, -74.1922 · click any tract to drill in
Why Port Ivory scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
19.8% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,818 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elizabeth
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
How Port Ivory compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 8%Grade C
- 83%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 528Total filings over 4 yrs
- 17.91%Avg annual filing rate
- 21.1%Peak (2013)
- 117Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 26% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Port Ivory. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 36.4%Housing insecurity
- 20.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 45.0%Food insecurity
- 31.2%SNAP enrollment
- 20.9%Transit barriers
- 37.0%No health insurance
- 20.9%Frequent mental distress
- 37.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Port Ivory
The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Union County average of 6.6 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 528 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 17.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 21.1% of renter households in 2013.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039030200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039030200?
Census tract 34039030200 in the Port Ivory neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039030200?
Median gross rent is $1,818/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039030200?
19.8% of residents in tract 34039030200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,636.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039030200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 81th, minority 99th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 34039030200 considered part of Port Ivory?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34039030200 fall within Port Ivory (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039030200?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 528 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039030200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.91% of renter households, peaking at 21.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34039030200 struggle to pay rent?
About 36.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34039030200 compare to Elizabeth overall?
Tract 34039030200 scores 7.8/10, lower than the parent city of Elizabeth at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34039030200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 83% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elizabeth
Top eight tracts in Elizabeth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
34039031904
8.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34039031802
8.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34039031400
8.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34039031100
8.4
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
8.3
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34039031700
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
7.9
/ 10 · High
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