Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #3,797 of 84,120 nationally
Elizabeth Eviction Risk: High
Tract 34039039900 · Union County, NJ · pop 1,488
Census tract 34039039900 covers part of Elizabeth, NJ, and scores 9.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,488. Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
9.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 54%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 7%
Tract context
Occupied units623
Renter share92.6%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate16.7%
Median income$50,976
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
National
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elizabeth and the region
Centroid at 40.6659, -74.2157 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elizabeth scores 9.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
16.7% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,324 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elizabeth
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
How Elizabeth compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 6%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 543Total filings over 4 yrs
- 29.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 30.3%Peak (2016)
- 134Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.9%Housing insecurity
- 14.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 30.9%Food insecurity
- 18.9%SNAP enrollment
- 14.3%Transit barriers
- 26.8%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 31.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elizabeth
Against the Union County average of 6.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points. 93% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Against Union County at 44.6%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened.
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.2/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 26.8% against 11.3% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 30.9% against 17.8% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 543 filings here across 4 tracked years.
At $1,324 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Elizabeth commands. The worst year on record was 2016, when 30.3% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Union Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039039900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039039900?
Census tract 34039039900 in Elizabeth scores 9.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039039900?
Median gross rent is $1,324/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039039900?
16.7% of residents in tract 34039039900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,488.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039039900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 25th, minority 92th, housing 96th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039039900?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 543 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039039900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 29.45% of renter households, peaking at 30.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34039039900 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34039039900 compare to Elizabeth overall?
Tract 34039039900 scores 9.1/10, higher than the parent city of Elizabeth at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 34039039900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elizabeth
Top eight tracts in Elizabeth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Gulfport
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039030701
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031802
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031903
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039030704
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031904
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031100
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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