Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #3,797 of 84,120 nationally
Elizabeth Eviction Risk: High
Tract 34039031200 · Union County, NJ · pop 6,624
Census tract 34039031200 covers part of Elizabeth, NJ, and scores 9.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,624. Against the Union County average of 6.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points.
Risk score
9.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units1,814
Renter share82.1%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$65,370
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
National
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elizabeth and the region
Centroid at 40.6635, -74.2021 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elizabeth scores 9.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,536 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elizabeth
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
How Elizabeth compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 13%Grade C
- 48%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,011Total filings over 4 yrs
- 19.01%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.0%Peak (2013)
- 272Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.7%Housing insecurity
- 15.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.6%Food insecurity
- 22.4%SNAP enrollment
- 16.3%Transit barriers
- 30.7%No health insurance
- 18.9%Frequent mental distress
- 33.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elizabeth
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10. This is renter territory: 82% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Food insecurity runs 35.6% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 29.7% against 14.2% nationally.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. Cost burden runs about half here against 44.6% across Union County.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 1,011 filings here across 4 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2013, when 23.0% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Union Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 19.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039031200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039031200?
Census tract 34039031200 in Elizabeth scores 9.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039031200?
Median gross rent is $1,536/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039031200?
16.3% of residents in tract 34039031200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,624.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039031200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 83th, minority 92th, housing 93th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039031200?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 1,011 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039031200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.01% of renter households, peaking at 23.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34039031200 struggle to pay rent?
About 29.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34039031200 compare to Elizabeth overall?
Tract 34039031200 scores 9.1/10, higher than the parent city of Elizabeth at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 34039031200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 48% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elizabeth
Top eight tracts in Elizabeth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031301
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039039900
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031400
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031700
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Related