Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Keene Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham
Tract 37063002009 · Durham County, NC · pop 4,943 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 37063002009 covers part of the Keene area of Durham, NC, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,943. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units2,087
Renter share36.3%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate23.2%
Median income$41,328
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 35.9591, -78.8969 · click any tract to drill in
Why Keene scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
23.2% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$1,074 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5
How Keene compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,605Total filings over 11 yrs
- 24.70%Avg annual filing rate
- 30.6%Peak (2006)
- 90Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 46% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Keene. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.0%Housing insecurity
- 15.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.6%Food insecurity
- 25.6%SNAP enrollment
- 14.4%Transit barriers
- 17.1%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 39.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Keene
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.4/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Average gross rent is $1,074, 29% below the Durham average. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
It sits 1.3 points above the Durham County average of 4.1. Food insecurity runs 28.6% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 25.6% against 15.2% nationally. Cost burden runs 49% here against 43.8% across Durham County.
Court records carry 1,605 eviction filings across 11 observed years. Filings peaked in 2006 at 30.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 24.7% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 37063002009
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063002009?
Census tract 37063002009 in the Keene neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37063002009?
Median gross rent is $1,074/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37063002009?
23.2% of residents in tract 37063002009 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,943.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063002009?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 95th, minority 95th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 37063002009 considered part of Keene?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063002009 fall within Keene (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063002009?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,605 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063002009 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.70% of renter households, peaking at 30.6% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37063002009 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37063002009 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 37063002009 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Swann's Mill
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Holloway Place
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Related