Eviction Risk in Hillcrest , Durham
Tract 37063001002 · Durham County, NC · pop 5,501 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 37063001002 sits in the Hillcrest neighborhood of Durham, North Carolina. It has a population of 5,501 and an eviction-risk score of 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). 42% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 19% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $923/month against a median household income of $48,303 — roughly 23% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
Hispanic-Black Neighborhood — 5,829 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 58.9%
- White (non-Hispanic) 11.3%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 24%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 0.6%
- Other / Multiracial 5.2%
How the 6.2/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 9.4 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 2.3 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 8.1 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 7.5 | Durham (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 2.0 | Durham (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 4.5 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 6.5 | Durham (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 4.5 | Durham (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 6.5 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 1.0 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 6,056Total filings over 11 yrs
- 36.51%Avg annual filing rate
- 58.7%Peak (2006)
- 286Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Hillcrest. Closest by composite score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 31.1%Housing insecurity
- 21.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 41.9%Food insecurity
- 39.7%SNAP enrollment
- 21.2%Transit barriers
- 26.8%No health insurance
- 20.5%Frequent mental distress
- 44.3%Any disability
Dominant grade: C — definitely declining
Approximately 16% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Durham. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
- 0.0%A (Best)
- 0.0%B (Desirable)
- 12.0%C (Declining)
- 3.7%D (Redlined)
Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.
About tract 37063001002
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063001002?
Census tract 37063001002 in the Hillcrest neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 37063001002?
Median gross rent is $923/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 37063001002?
25.9% of residents in tract 37063001002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,501.
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063001002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 76th, minority 89th, housing 80th.
Is tract 37063001002 considered part of Hillcrest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063001002 fall within Hillcrest (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063001002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 6,056 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063001002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 36.51% of renter households, peaking at 58.7% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
What share of households in tract 37063001002 struggle to pay rent?
About 31.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.7% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Was tract 37063001002 redlined?
The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is C (Definitely Declining). Roughly 4% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Durham. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.