1 census tracts · pop 4,432 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10
· range 5.4–5.4
Burch Avenue maps to a single census tract in Durham, NC, population 4,432. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.4/10, Moderate tier. Against a Durham baseline of 29.4%, 56% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1/10. At $991 a month, rents sit 34% under what the rest of Durham commands.
The severe-burden share is 27%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. This is a renter market: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The poverty rate is 28%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. The filing record is not thin: 2,848 evictions logged in this tract. The worst year on record was 2006, when filings touched 38.8% of renter households.
The most recent observed rate, 11.9% in 2017, is well off that peak. That places it #1 of 58 neighborhoods in Durham.
The closest comparables inside the same city are Hillcrest and Swann's Mill.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Burch Avenue vs DurhamHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority75%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport100%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Burch Avenue
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
2,848Total filings (sum)
23.09%Avg annual filing rate
38.8%Peak year (2006)
11.93%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Burch Avenue
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
17.6%Housing insecurity
12.1%Utility shutoff threat
24.0%Food insecurity
21.0%SNAP enrollment
13.9%No health insurance
34.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Burch Avenue
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Burch Avenue?
Burch Avenue scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Burch Avenue compare to Durham overall?
Burch Avenue scores 1.4 points higher than Durham overall (4/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $991 vs $1,508.
Q3
What is the average rent in Burch Avenue?
Average gross rent in Burch Avenue is $991/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Burch Avenue residents are renters?
75% of Burch Avenue households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 4,432 residents.
Q5
Is Burch Avenue a high social-vulnerability area?
Burch Avenue sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Burch Avenue for landlords?
Burch Avenue carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Burch Avenue?
Burch Avenue has 4,164 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (42.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (34.1%), Hispanic / Latino (11.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
