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Neighborhood · Durham, NC

Crest Street Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 6,841 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10 · range 3–5.4

Crest Street spans 2 census tracts of Durham, NC and houses 6,841 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.2/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 69% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Durham rate of 29.4%.

At $715 a month, rents sit 53% under what the rest of Durham commands. This is a renter market: 99% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Food insecurity affects 44.2% of adults, 26.4 points above the national rate. Set annual rent against average household income of $21,212 and the ratio lands at 40%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

24.3% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3 to 5.4, a 2.4-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.

Severe burden reaches 13%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The poverty rate is 19%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 1 evictions logged in this tract.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 5.9% of renter households. Among the 58 mapped neighborhoods of Durham, it ranks #22 by risk, the middle third.

Judgments average 5.9% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, O'Briant Place and Audubon Park score within a fraction of it.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.4 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Crest Street vs Durham How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
68.6% +133%
Durham: 29.4%
Average gross rent
$715 -53%
Durham: $1,508
Average HH income
$21,212 -73%
Durham: $79,234
Poverty rate
18.8% +54%
Durham: 12.2%
Renter share
98.7% +107%
Durham: 47.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Crest Street and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–5.4

Why Crest Street scores 4.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
69% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
99% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
18.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–9.1 across tracts
5.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.4–5.0 across tracts
3.7
Risk score comparison

Crest Street vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Crest Street score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Crest Street: 4.24.2Crest StreetNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 3.93.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Crest Street

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37063001505 5.4 3,537 39% $1,383
37063001501 3 3,304 100%
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 55

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 76%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 3%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 82%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Crest Street

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1Total filings (sum)
  • 5.88%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.9%Peak year (2016)
  • 5.88%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Crest Street

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Crest Street

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Crest Street?

Crest Street scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Crest Street compare to Durham overall?

Crest Street scores 0.2 points higher than Durham overall (4/10). Renters spend 69% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $715 vs $1,508.
Q3

What is the average rent in Crest Street?

Average gross rent in Crest Street is $715/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Crest Street residents are renters?

99% of Crest Street households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 6,841 residents.
Q5

Is Crest Street a high social-vulnerability area?

Crest Street sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Crest Street have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Crest Street is census tract 37063001505 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 5.4, a spread of 2.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Crest Street for landlords?

Crest Street carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Crest Street?

Crest Street has 7,235 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (36%), Black (non-Hispanic) (22.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (19.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Crest Street

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Durham

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Crest Street.

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