Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Swann's Mill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham
Tract 37063001709 · Durham County, NC · pop 8,069 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 37063001709 covers part of the Swann's Mill area of Durham, NC, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 8,069 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units3,052
Renter share67.7%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate16.7%
Median income$47,324
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 36.0490, -78.8816 · click any tract to drill in
Why Swann's Mill scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
16.7% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,284 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5
How Swann's Mill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 6,636Total filings over 11 yrs
- 36.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 62.1%Peak (2005)
- 380Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 53% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.5%Housing insecurity
- 14.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.6%Food insecurity
- 23.5%SNAP enrollment
- 13.9%Transit barriers
- 15.2%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 36.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Swann's Mill
Against Durham County at 43.8%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened. Set annual rent against average income of $47,324 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.
It sits 1.3 points above the Durham County average of 4.1. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Court records carry 6,636 eviction filings across 11 observed years. SNAP participation runs 23.5% against 15.2% nationally.
Average gross rent is $1,284, 15% below the Durham average. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2005 at 62.1% of renter households.
In a typical year about 36.7% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 37063001709
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063001709?
Census tract 37063001709 in the Swann's Mill neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37063001709?
Median gross rent is $1,284/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37063001709?
16.7% of residents in tract 37063001709 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,069.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063001709?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 95th, minority 93th, housing 93th.
Q5
Is tract 37063001709 considered part of Swann's Mill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063001709 fall within Swann's Mill (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063001709?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 6,636 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063001709 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 36.69% of renter households, peaking at 62.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37063001709 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37063001709 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 37063001709 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Holloway Place
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
L L Wilkins
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Hayti
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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