1 census tracts · pop 8,069 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10
· range 5.4–5.4
Swann's Mill is a one-tract neighborhood of Durham, NC, population 8,069. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.4/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 57% against 29.4% citywide, putting Swann's Mill 28.0% over its own city.
Set annual rent against average household income of $47,324 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. This is a renter market: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1.9/10.
Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. The severe-burden share is 14%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
Court records for this tract carry 6,636 eviction filings. The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
At $1,284 a month, rents sit 15% under what the rest of Durham commands. Filing activity peaked in 2005 at 62.1% of renter households. SNAP participation is 23.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity affects 26.6% of adults, 8.8 points above the national rate. The most recent observed rate, 17.0% in 2017, is well off that peak. Among the 58 mapped neighborhoods of Durham, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Swann's Mill vs DurhamHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority93%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport93%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Swann's Mill
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
6,636Total filings (sum)
36.69%Avg annual filing rate
62.1%Peak year (2005)
16.96%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Swann's Mill
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
21.5%Housing insecurity
14.4%Utility shutoff threat
26.6%Food insecurity
23.5%SNAP enrollment
15.2%No health insurance
36.0%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Swann's Mill
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Swann's Mill?
Swann's Mill scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Swann's Mill compare to Durham overall?
Swann's Mill scores 1.4 points higher than Durham overall (4/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,284 vs $1,508.
Q3
What is the average rent in Swann's Mill?
Average gross rent in Swann's Mill is $1,284/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Swann's Mill residents are renters?
68% of Swann's Mill households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 8,069 residents.
Q5
Is Swann's Mill a high social-vulnerability area?
Swann's Mill sits in the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Swann's Mill for landlords?
Swann's Mill carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Swann's Mill?
Swann's Mill has 8,603 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (55.6%), Hispanic / Latino (29.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (7.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
