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Neighborhood · Durham, NC

The Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,332 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

The Heights is a one-tract neighborhood of Durham, NC, population 2,332. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.4/10, in the Moderate tier. Annualized rent equals 60% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

54% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Durham rate of 29.4%. The severe-burden share is 38%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 53%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.2/10.

Average gross rent is $1,155, 23% below the Durham average of $1,508. Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.

SNAP participation is 27.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally. 14.5% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That places it #1 of 58 neighborhoods in Durham.

One tract means one number: 5.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
The Heights vs Durham How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.0% +84%
Durham: 29.4%
Average gross rent
$1,155 -23%
Durham: $1,508
Average HH income
$23,198 -71%
Durham: $79,234
Poverty rate
52.6% +331%
Durham: 12.2%
Renter share
100.0% +110%
Durham: 47.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why The Heights scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
100% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
52.6% below poverty line · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.2–1.2 across tracts
1.2
Risk score comparison

The Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

The Heights score vs. parent city, state, U.S.The Heights: 5.45.4The HeightsNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 3.93.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in The Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37063001504 5.4 2,332 54% $1,155
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 95

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 98%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 22%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 83%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 99%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Heights

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About The Heights

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for The Heights?

The Heights scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does The Heights compare to Durham overall?

The Heights scores 1.4 points higher than Durham overall (4/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,155 vs $1,508.
Q3

What is the average rent in The Heights?

Average gross rent in The Heights is $1,155/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of The Heights residents are renters?

100% of The Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 2,332 residents.
Q5

Is The Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

The Heights sits in the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is The Heights for landlords?

The Heights carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of The Heights?

The Heights has 2,500 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (38%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (26.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (18.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Heights

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Durham

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Heights.

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