Census Tract · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Bismarck Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 38015010600 · Burleigh County, ND · pop 4,204 · 85% of tract blocks fall in Bismarck

Census tract 38015010600 covers part of Bismarck, ND, and scores 4.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,204 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 25% Owners 61%

Tract context

Occupied units2,173

Renter share38.8%

SVI overall0.26

Poverty rate13.4%

Median income$77,275

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bismarck and the region

Centroid at 46.7833, -100.8096 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bismarck scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bismarck

2.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.0

State political climate

North Dakota legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

13.4% poverty · this tract

3.4

Supply constraint

$879 rent vs county FMR

3.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bismarck

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bismarck

1.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bismarck

1.5

How Bismarck compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 26

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

14%Socioeconomic
41%Household composition
17%Racial/ethnic minority
54%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.6%Housing insecurity
5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
9.0%Food insecurity
5.7%SNAP enrollment
5.8%Transit barriers
6.0%No health insurance
13.2%Frequent mental distress
28.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bismarck

Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1/10. Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

SNAP participation runs 5.7% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.0% against 17.8% nationally. At $879 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Bismarck commands.

That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $77,275, annual rent is just 14%. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 36% of renters. It tracks the Burleigh County average of 3.6 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 38015010600

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38015010600?

Census tract 38015010600 in Bismarck scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 38015010600?

Median gross rent is $879/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 38015010600?

13.4% of residents in tract 38015010600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,204.

How socially vulnerable is tract 38015010600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 41th, minority 17th, housing 54th.

What share of households in tract 38015010600 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 38015010600 compare to Bismarck overall?

Tract 38015010600 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Bismarck at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bismarck eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bismarck

Top eight tracts in Bismarck ranked by composite eviction-risk score.