Bismarck Eviction Risk: Moderate

22% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Burleigh County average of 34.1%. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 0.8 points above the Burleigh County average of 3.6.

That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the ND average is 3.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $990, close to the Bismarck average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $55,163.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.