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Census Tract · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally

Bismarck Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 38015010900 · Burleigh County, ND · pop 4,780

Census tract 38015010900 covers part of Bismarck, ND, and scores 3.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,780 residents. Cost burden runs 56% here against 34.1% across Burleigh County.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 10% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,730
Renter share22.7%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate9.9%
Median income$83,718

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 16 tracts In Bismarck
Moderate
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 19 tracts In Burleigh County
Elevated
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#85 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Elevated
National
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#56,048 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bismarck and the region

Centroid at 46.8158, -100.7417 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bismarck scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bismarck
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.9% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,031 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bismarck
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bismarck
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bismarck
1.5

How Bismarck compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bismarck risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.6This tracttract 0109003.2Bismarckparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county3.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bismarck

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

SNAP participation runs 6.0% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.8% against 17.8% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $83,718, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Burleigh County average of 3.6 closely. Average gross rent is $1,031, close to the Bismarck average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 38015010900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38015010900?

Census tract 38015010900 in Bismarck scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 38015010900?

Median gross rent is $1,031/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 38015010900?

9.9% of residents in tract 38015010900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,780.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 38015010900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 25th, minority 33th, housing 79th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 38015010900 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 38015010900 compare to Bismarck overall?

Tract 38015010900 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Bismarck at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bismarck eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bismarck

Top eight tracts in Bismarck ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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