Census Tract · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Bismarck Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 38015010100 · Burleigh County, ND · pop 3,444

The Lower-tier score of 2.9/10 for census tract 38015010100 reflects conditions in Bismarck, North Dakota. That is riskier than about 2% of US census tracts.

About 30% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $726 a month against an average household income of $47,580 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 69% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 48% Owners 31%

Tract context

Occupied units1,819

Renter share69.1%

SVI overall0.53

Poverty rate20.1%

Median income$47,580

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bismarck and the region

Centroid at 46.8089, -100.7866 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bismarck scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bismarck

2.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.0

State political climate

North Dakota legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

20.1% poverty · this tract

5.0

Supply constraint

$726 rent vs county FMR

2.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bismarck

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bismarck

1.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bismarck

1.5

How Bismarck compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

52%Socioeconomic
10%Household composition
32%Racial/ethnic minority
88%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.2%Housing insecurity
7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
13.1%Food insecurity
9.1%SNAP enrollment
7.7%Transit barriers
8.3%No health insurance
14.9%Frequent mental distress
32.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bismarck

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bismarck eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Burleigh County average of 2.9 and in line with the North Dakota statewide average of 3.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 38015010100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38015010100?

Census tract 38015010100 in Bismarck scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 38015010100?

Median gross rent is $726/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 38015010100?

20.1% of residents in tract 38015010100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,444.

How socially vulnerable is tract 38015010100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 10th, minority 32th, housing 88th.

What share of households in tract 38015010100 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 38015010100 compare to Bismarck overall?

Tract 38015010100 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Bismarck at 1.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bismarck eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bismarck

Top eight tracts in Bismarck ranked by composite eviction-risk score.