Census Tract · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally

Bismarck Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 38015010200 · Burleigh County, ND · pop 4,383

With a score of 3.3/10, tract 38015010200 in Bismarck ranks in the Lower tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,383 residents. It lands near the 4th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 40% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $879 a month while the average household earns $54,107 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 28% Owners 53%

Tract context

Occupied units1,843

Renter share46.5%

SVI overall0.67

Poverty rate20.5%

Median income$54,107

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bismarck and the region

Centroid at 46.8107, -100.7645 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bismarck scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bismarck

2.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.0

State political climate

North Dakota legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

20.5% poverty · this tract

5.1

Supply constraint

$879 rent vs county FMR

3.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bismarck

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bismarck

1.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bismarck

1.5

How Bismarck compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

67%Socioeconomic
67%Household composition
31%Racial/ethnic minority
66%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.4%Housing insecurity
7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
13.6%Food insecurity
9.7%SNAP enrollment
8.1%Transit barriers
8.7%No health insurance
15.1%Frequent mental distress
34.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bismarck

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 5.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bismarck eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Burleigh County average of 2.9 and in line with the North Dakota statewide average of 3.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 38015010200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38015010200?

Census tract 38015010200 in Bismarck scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 38015010200?

Median gross rent is $879/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 38015010200?

20.5% of residents in tract 38015010200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,383.

How socially vulnerable is tract 38015010200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 67th, minority 31th, housing 66th.

What share of households in tract 38015010200 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 38015010200 compare to Bismarck overall?

Tract 38015010200 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Bismarck at 1.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bismarck eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bismarck

Top eight tracts in Bismarck ranked by composite eviction-risk score.