Census Tract · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally

Bismarck Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 38015010700 · Burleigh County, ND · pop 4,217

Tract 38015010700, home to 4,217 residents in Bismarck, scores 3.4/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 4% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $846 monthly, set against $88,060 in average yearly household income, roughly 12% of income at the averages. About 21% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

2.9

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 10% Owners 79%

Tract context

Occupied units1,693

Renter share21.0%

SVI overall0.52

Poverty rate14.1%

Median income$88,060

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bismarck and the region

Centroid at 46.7911, -100.7866 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bismarck scores 2.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bismarck

2.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.0

State political climate

North Dakota legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

14.1% poverty · this tract

3.5

Supply constraint

$846 rent vs county FMR

3.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bismarck

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bismarck

1.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bismarck

1.5

How Bismarck compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

34%Socioeconomic
84%Household composition
26%Racial/ethnic minority
58%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.7%Housing insecurity
5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
10.4%Food insecurity
6.6%SNAP enrollment
6.2%Transit barriers
7.2%No health insurance
13.6%Frequent mental distress
29.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bismarck

What moves this score most is economic stress at 3.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bismarck eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Burleigh County average of 2.9 and in line with the North Dakota statewide average of 3.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 38015010700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38015010700?

Census tract 38015010700 in Bismarck scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 38015010700?

Median gross rent is $846/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 38015010700?

14.1% of residents in tract 38015010700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,217.

How socially vulnerable is tract 38015010700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 84th, minority 26th, housing 58th.

What share of households in tract 38015010700 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 38015010700 compare to Bismarck overall?

Tract 38015010700 scores 2.9/10, higher than the parent city of Bismarck at 1.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bismarck eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bismarck

Top eight tracts in Bismarck ranked by composite eviction-risk score.