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Neighborhood · Middletown, OH

Rosedale / The Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 12,128 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10 · range 3.3–5.6

Rosedale / The Oaks takes in 4 census tracts of Middletown, OH and houses 12,128 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.9/10, in the Lower tier. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10.

The 4 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3.3 to 5.6, a 2.3-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. 31% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. 15% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.4/10. Court records carry 1,510 eviction filings across its 4 observed tracts.

On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.7/10. Filing activity peaked in 2018 at 21.3% of renter households.

Judgments average 5.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. At 27% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Downtown and South Main Street Historic District. Against average income of $77,103, annual rent is only 17%, a wide affordability cushion. Average gross rent runs $1,064, close to the Middletown average.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 3.9 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
4 tracts · population-weighted
Rosedale / The Oaks vs Middletown How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
31.3% +1%
Middletown: 31.1%
Average gross rent
$1,064 +6%
Middletown: $1,007
Average HH income
$77,103 +40%
Middletown: $54,985
Poverty rate
8.8% -54%
Middletown: 19.0%
Renter share
26.5% -42%
Middletown: 46.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rosedale / The Oaks and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3.3–5.6

Why Rosedale / The Oaks scores 3.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Rent control risk
31% of income on rent · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
27% renter households · Range 8.8–8.8 across tracts
8.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Economic stress
8.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–7.6 across tracts
2.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.1–4.6 across tracts
3.2
Risk score comparison

Rosedale / The Oaks vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Rosedale / The Oaks score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.9Rosedale / The OakNeighborhood4.2Parent cityhost city4.0Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Rosedale / The Oaks?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.3 points from 3.3 to 5.6. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Rosedale / The Oaks

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
39017012300 5.6 2,053 73% $785
39017013300 4.2 2,379 29% $1,016
39017012600 3.5 2,361 23% $953
39017012500 3.3 5,335 20% $1,241
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 26

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 31%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 53%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 23%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 18%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Rosedale / The Oaks

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,510Total filings (sum)
  • 10.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.3%Peak year (2018)
  • 11.59%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Rosedale / The Oaks

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Rosedale / The Oaks

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Rosedale / The Oaks?

Rosedale / The Oaks scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Rosedale / The Oaks compare to Middletown overall?

Rosedale / The Oaks scores 0.3 points lower than Middletown overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 31% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,064 vs $1,007.
Q3

What is the average rent in Rosedale / The Oaks?

Average gross rent in Rosedale / The Oaks is $1,064/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Rosedale / The Oaks residents are renters?

27% of Rosedale / The Oaks households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Middletown). The neighborhood has 12,128 residents.
Q5

Is Rosedale / The Oaks a high social-vulnerability area?

Rosedale / The Oaks sits in the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Rosedale / The Oaks have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Rosedale / The Oaks is census tract 39017012300 (score 5.6/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.3 to 5.6, a spread of 2.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Rosedale / The Oaks for landlords?

Rosedale / The Oaks carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Middletown as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Rosedale / The Oaks?

Rosedale / The Oaks has 12,256 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (83.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.4%), Other / Multiracial (3.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Rosedale / The Oaks

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Middletown

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Rosedale / The Oaks.

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