Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Rosedale / The Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Middletown
Tract 39017013300 · Butler County, OH · pop 2,379 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 4.2/10, tract 39017013300 in the Rosedale / The Oaks area of Middletown, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,379 residents. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,007
Renter share23.8%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$69,472
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
24
th percentile
Low
Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middletown and the region
Centroid at 39.5078, -84.3685 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rosedale / The Oaks scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middletown
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,016 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
7.1
How Rosedale / The Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 36
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 24%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 153Total filings over 13 yrs
- 9.08%Avg annual filing rate
- 21.3%Peak (2016)
- 13Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Rosedale / The Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.9%Food insecurity
- 10.3%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 8.0%No health insurance
- 17.6%Frequent mental distress
- 30.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rosedale / The Oaks
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10.
Against Butler County at 39.6%, 29% of renters here are cost-burdened. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.8/10.
Court records carry 153 eviction filings across 13 observed years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 21.3% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 9.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 4.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $69,472, annual rent is just 18%. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Butler County average of 4.3 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 39017013300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017013300?
Census tract 39017013300 in the Rosedale / The Oaks neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39017013300?
Median gross rent is $1,016/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39017013300?
7.0% of residents in tract 39017013300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,379.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39017013300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 65th, minority 15th, housing 24th.
Q5
Is tract 39017013300 considered part of Rosedale / The Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39017013300 fall within Rosedale / The Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017013300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 153 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39017013300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.08% of renter households, peaking at 21.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39017013300 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39017013300 compare to Middletown overall?
Tract 39017013300 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Middletown at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middletown
Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017013400
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017013500
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017013600
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017014000
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017014100
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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