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Neighborhood · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally

Rosedale / The Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Middletown

Tract 39017013300 · Butler County, OH · pop 2,379 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 39017013300 covers Rosedale / The Oaks in Middletown, home to 2,379 residents. For landlords it grades 5.2/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 45th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 29% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,016 a month against an average household income of $69,472 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 24% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 17% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,007
Renter share23.8%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$69,472

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Rosedale / The Oaks
Elevated
Within parent city
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 18 tracts In Middletown
Low
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#40 of 86 tracts In Butler County
Moderate
Within state
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#1,737 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Middletown and the region

Centroid at 39.5078, -84.3685 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rosedale / The Oaks scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Middletown
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,016 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
7.1

How Rosedale / The Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rosedale / The Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.33.3This tracttract 013300Middletown: 2.82.8Middletownparent cityCounty: 3.23.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 36

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 153Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 9.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.3%Peak (2016)
  • 13Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390170133002006: 12 filings (7.69/100 renter HHs)2007: 6 filings (3.85/100 renter HHs)2008: 10 filings (6.41/100 renter HHs)2009: 6 filings (3.85/100 renter HHs)2010: 4 filings (2.29/100 renter HHs)2011: 11 filings (10.38/100 renter HHs)2012: 9 filings (8.49/100 renter HHs)2013: 4 filings (3.77/100 renter HHs)2014: 15 filings (14.15/100 renter HHs)2015: 14 filings (13.21/100 renter HHs)2016: 30 filings (21.28/100 renter HHs)2017: 19 filings (13.48/100 renter HHs)2018: 13 filings (9.22/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rosedale / The Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rosedale / The Oaks

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Middletown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Butler County average of 5.5 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39017013300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017013300?

Census tract 39017013300 in the Rosedale / The Oaks neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39017013300?

Median gross rent is $1,016/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39017013300?

7.0% of residents in tract 39017013300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,379.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39017013300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 65th, minority 15th, housing 24th.
Q5

Is tract 39017013300 considered part of Rosedale / The Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39017013300 fall within Rosedale / The Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017013300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 153 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39017013300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.08% of renter households, peaking at 21.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39017013300 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39017013300 compare to Middletown overall?

Tract 39017013300 scores 3.3/10, higher than the parent city of Middletown at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Middletown

Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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