Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Rosedale / The Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Middletown
Tract 39017012300 · Butler County, OH · pop 2,053 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
Census tract 39017012300 covers part of the Rosedale / The Oaks area of Middletown, OH, and scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,053. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,029
Renter share36.2%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate30.4%
Median income$41,792
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middletown and the region
Centroid at 39.5346, -84.3609 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rosedale / The Oaks scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middletown
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
30.4% poverty · this tract
7.6
Supply constraint
$785 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
7.1
How Rosedale / The Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 19%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 288Total filings over 13 yrs
- 6.19%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.5%Peak (2018)
- 35Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 59% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Rosedale / The Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.5%Housing insecurity
- 13.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.3%Food insecurity
- 25.1%SNAP enrollment
- 12.7%Transit barriers
- 12.3%No health insurance
- 22.7%Frequent mental distress
- 38.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rosedale / The Oaks
about three-quarters of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Butler County average of 39.6%. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.1/10.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.8/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10. The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
At $785 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Middletown commands. Against the Butler County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. SNAP participation runs 25.1% against 15.2% nationally.
Court records carry 288 eviction filings across 13 observed years. Food insecurity runs 25.3% against 17.8% nationally. The worst year on record was 2018, when 8.5% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 6.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39017012300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017012300?
Census tract 39017012300 in the Rosedale / The Oaks neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39017012300?
Median gross rent is $785/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39017012300?
30.4% of residents in tract 39017012300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,053.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39017012300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 72th, minority 26th, housing 19th.
Q5
Is tract 39017012300 considered part of Rosedale / The Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39017012300 fall within Rosedale / The Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017012300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 288 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39017012300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.19% of renter households, peaking at 8.5% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39017012300 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39017012300 compare to Middletown overall?
Tract 39017012300 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Middletown at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middletown
Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017013400
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017013500
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017013600
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017014000
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017014100
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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