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Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally

Rosedale / The Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Middletown

Tract 39017012600 · Butler County, OH · pop 2,361 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 39017012600 sits in the Rosedale / The Oaks area of Middletown eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.5/10. It is home to 2,361 residents. Cost burden runs 23% here against 39.6% across Butler County.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 19% Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,170
Renter share24.7%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$96,083

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Rosedale / The Oaks
Low
Within parent city
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 18 tracts In Middletown
Very Low
Within county
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 86 tracts In Butler County
Moderate
Within state
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#1,831 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Middletown and the region

Centroid at 39.5186, -84.3645 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rosedale / The Oaks scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Middletown
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$953 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
7.1

How Rosedale / The Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rosedale / The Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.5This tracttract 0126004.2Middletownparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 532Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 10.80%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.7%Peak (2009)
  • 45Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39017012600
Filings climbed 45% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rosedale / The Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rosedale / The Oaks

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.7/10.

11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The filing record is not thin: 532 evictions over 13 years of observation.

It sits 0.8 points below the Butler County average of 4.3. The worst year on record was 2009, when 14.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 10.8% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 31st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 25% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 12% of average household income of $96,083, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39017012600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017012600?

Census tract 39017012600 in the Rosedale / The Oaks neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39017012600?

Median gross rent is $953/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39017012600?

6.7% of residents in tract 39017012600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,361.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39017012600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 38th, minority 12th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 39017012600 considered part of Rosedale / The Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39017012600 fall within Rosedale / The Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017012600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 532 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39017012600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.80% of renter households, peaking at 14.7% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39017012600 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39017012600 compare to Middletown overall?

Tract 39017012600 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Middletown at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Middletown

Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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