Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally
Rosedale / The Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Middletown
Tract 39017012600 · Butler County, OH · pop 2,361 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of $1/10, tract 39017012600 in Rosedale / The Oaks in Middletown ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,361 residents. It lands near the 38th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 23% of renter households, a moderate level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $953 a month while the average household earns $96,083 a year, roughly 12% of income at the averages. Renters make up 25% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,170
Renter share24.7%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$96,083
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middletown and the region
Centroid at 39.5186, -84.3645 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rosedale / The Oaks scores 2.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middletown
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$953 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
7.1
How Rosedale / The Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 19%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 12%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 532Total filings over 13 yrs
- 10.80%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.7%Peak (2009)
- 45Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 45% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Rosedale / The Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.7%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.7%Food insecurity
- 9.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 6.6%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 27.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rosedale / The Oaks
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Middletown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Butler County average of 5.5 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 532 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 10.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 14.7% of renter households in 2009.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39017012600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017012600?
Census tract 39017012600 in the Rosedale / The Oaks neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39017012600?
Median gross rent is $953/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39017012600?
6.7% of residents in tract 39017012600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,361.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39017012600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 38th, minority 12th, housing 7th.
Q5
Is tract 39017012600 considered part of Rosedale / The Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39017012600 fall within Rosedale / The Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017012600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 532 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39017012600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.80% of renter households, peaking at 14.7% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39017012600 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39017012600 compare to Middletown overall?
Tract 39017012600 scores 2.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Middletown at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middletown
Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Downtown
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017014000
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Rosedale / The Oaks
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39017013600
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39017013500
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Downtown
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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