Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Washington Avenue Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower , Elyria
Tract 39093070600 · Lorain County, OH · pop 4,476 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 3.9/10, tract 39093070600 in the Washington Avenue Historic District area of Elyria, OH reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,476 residents. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units2,014
Renter share35.5%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$67,019
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
24
th percentile
Low
Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elyria and the region
Centroid at 41.3792, -82.0924 · click any tract to drill in
Why Washington Avenue Historic District scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$898 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elyria
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elyria
6.4
How Washington Avenue Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 23%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 629Total filings over 11 yrs
- 9.71%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.7%Peak (2018)
- 82Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 91% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Washington Avenue Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.2%Housing insecurity
- 7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.4%Food insecurity
- 10.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.5%Transit barriers
- 8.2%No health insurance
- 18.9%Frequent mental distress
- 30.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Washington Avenue Historic District
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10. 48% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Lorain County average of 40.1%. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.2/10.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Court records carry 629 eviction filings across 11 observed years. Filings peaked in 2018 at 10.7% of renter households.
In a typical year about 9.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2/10. Against average income of $67,019, annual rent is just 16%. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 39093070600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093070600?
Census tract 39093070600 in the Washington Avenue Historic District neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39093070600?
Median gross rent is $898/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39093070600?
8.7% of residents in tract 39093070600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,476.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39093070600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 21th, minority 27th, housing 10th.
Q5
Is tract 39093070600 considered part of Washington Avenue Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093070600 fall within Washington Avenue Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093070600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 629 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093070600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.71% of renter households, peaking at 10.7% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39093070600 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39093070600 compare to Elyria overall?
Tract 39093070600 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Elyria at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elyria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elyria
Top eight tracts in Elyria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Colonial Oaks
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Downtown Elyria
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Pikewood Manor
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Washington Avenue Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Eastern Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Downtown Elyria
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Washington Village
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Colonial Oaks
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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