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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Homeville Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo

Tract 39095000201 · Lucas County, OH · pop 2,638 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 39095000201 in the Homeville area of Toledo, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,638 residents. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.5/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 19% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units873
Renter share40.7%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate37.9%
Median income$49,041

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Homeville
Very High
Within parent city
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 121 tracts In Toledo
Elevated
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#45 of 168 tracts In Lucas County
Elevated
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#554 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6974, -83.5784 · click any tract to drill in

Why Homeville scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
37.9% poverty · this tract
9.5
Supply constraint
$1,250 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0

How Homeville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Homeville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 000201Toledo: 4.04.0Toledoparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Homeville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Homeville

Average gross rent is $1,250, 39% above the Toledo average. The poverty rate is 38%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Cost burden runs 54% here against 41.3% across Lucas County.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

Food insecurity runs 28.9% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Lucas County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

The voucher gap is 18.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Housing insecurity runs 22.2% against 14.2% nationally.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Toledo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095000201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095000201?

Census tract 39095000201 in the Homeville neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39095000201?

Median gross rent is $1,250/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095000201?

37.9% of residents in tract 39095000201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,638.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095000201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 53th, minority 67th, housing 11th.
Q5

Is tract 39095000201 considered part of Homeville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095000201 fall within Homeville (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 39095000201 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39095000201 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095000201 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 39095000201 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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