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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Roosevelt Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo

Tract 39095002500 · Lucas County, OH · pop 1,476 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

39095002500 is a census tract in the Roosevelt area of Toledo, OH. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,476 residents. The severe-burden share is 55%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 14% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units743
Renter share37.1%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate29.9%
Median income$31,424

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Roosevelt
Very High
Within parent city
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#51 of 121 tracts In Toledo
Elevated
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#47 of 168 tracts In Lucas County
Elevated
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#554 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6583, -83.5757 · click any tract to drill in

Why Roosevelt scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
29.9% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$877 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0

How Roosevelt compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Roosevelt risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 002500Toledo: 4.04.0Toledoparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 609Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 11.02%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.1%Peak (2006)
  • 36Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390950025002003: 46 filings (10.60/100 renter HHs)2004: 37 filings (8.53/100 renter HHs)2005: 41 filings (11.61/100 renter HHs)2006: 64 filings (18.13/100 renter HHs)2007: 49 filings (13.88/100 renter HHs)2008: 32 filings (9.07/100 renter HHs)2009: 46 filings (13.03/100 renter HHs)2010: 33 filings (8.13/100 renter HHs)2011: 34 filings (9.74/100 renter HHs)2012: 38 filings (10.89/100 renter HHs)2013: 34 filings (9.74/100 renter HHs)2014: 39 filings (11.17/100 renter HHs)2015: 40 filings (11.46/100 renter HHs)2016: 40 filings (10.15/100 renter HHs)2018: 36 filings (9.14/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Roosevelt. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Roosevelt

62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Lucas County average of 41.3%. SNAP participation runs 42.2% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 40.5% against 17.8% nationally.

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $31,424, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Lucas County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10.

Court records carry 609 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Filings peaked in 2006 at 18.1% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095002500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095002500?

Census tract 39095002500 in the Roosevelt neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39095002500?

Median gross rent is $877/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095002500?

29.9% of residents in tract 39095002500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,476.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095002500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 31th, minority 96th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 39095002500 considered part of Roosevelt?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095002500 fall within Roosevelt (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095002500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 609 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39095002500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.02% of renter households, peaking at 18.1% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39095002500 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39095002500 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095002500 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39095002500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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