East Toledo Eviction Risk: Moderate

Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $31,568, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. SNAP participation runs 31.2% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, economic stress reads 8.3/10.

Food insecurity runs 30.6% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Lucas County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

Court records carry 1,424 eviction filings across 15 observed years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 21.3% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Toledo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.