Neighborhood · Toledo, OH

Middle Grounds Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 6,006 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 4.7–5.7

Middle Grounds is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Toledo with 3 census tracts and a population of 6,006 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 42% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 11% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $849/month sits 6% lower than the Toledo citywide average ($901).

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

3 tracts · population-weighted

Middle Grounds vs Toledo How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

41.6% +46%

Toledo: 28.4%

Average gross rent

$849 -6%

Toledo: $901

Average HH income

$43,292 -9%

Toledo: $47,532

Poverty rate

32.7% +33%

Toledo: 24.5%

Renter share

38.3% -18%

Toledo: 46.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Middle Grounds and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4.7–5.7

Why Middle Grounds scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts

2.4

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts

5.8

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Rent control risk

42% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

38% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Economic stress

32.7% below poverty line · Range 5.1–10.0 across tracts

7.6

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–4.7 across tracts

3.0

Risk score comparison

Middle Grounds vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Middle Grounds?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1 points from 4.7 to 5.7. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

5.7 5.6 4.7

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Middle Grounds

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
39095005200	5.7	2,964	46%	$756
39095010300	5.6	1,485	47%	$848
39095005102	4.7	1,557	28%	$1,028

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 74

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 90%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 78%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 57%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 35%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Middle Grounds

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,276Total filings (sum)
8.15%Avg annual filing rate
14.2%Peak year (2003)
6.22%Latest filed (2018)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Middle Grounds

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

23.4%Housing insecurity
18.2%Utility shutoff threat
32.4%Food insecurity
31.9%SNAP enrollment
17.3%No health insurance
41.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Middle Grounds

What is the eviction-risk score for Middle Grounds?

Middle Grounds scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Middle Grounds compare to Toledo overall?

Middle Grounds scores 2.1 points higher than Toledo overall (3.3/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $849 vs $901.

What is the average rent in Middle Grounds?

Average gross rent in Middle Grounds is $849/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Middle Grounds residents are renters?

38% of Middle Grounds households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in Toledo). The neighborhood has 6,006 residents.

Is Middle Grounds a high social-vulnerability area?

Middle Grounds sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Middle Grounds have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Middle Grounds is census tract 39095005200 (score 5.7/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.7 to 5.7, a spread of 1 points.

How safe is Middle Grounds for landlords?

Middle Grounds carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Toledo as a whole (3.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Middle Grounds?

Middle Grounds has 5,897 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (50.9%), Hispanic / Latino (29%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Middle Grounds

5.9 River East 2 tracts · pop 5,424 5.7 Saint Peter and Saint Paul Historic District 2 tracts · pop 3,818 5.2 East Toledo 5 tracts · pop 13,289 5.3 ONYX 5 tracts · pop 6,090 5.7 Roosevelt 2 tracts · pop 2,547 4.4 Woodsdale 2 tracts · pop 3,637

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Toledo

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Middle Grounds.

5.5 Uptown 1 tracts · pop 1,152 5.5 United 2 tracts · pop 5,987 5.3 Scott Park 3 tracts · pop 4,488 5.3 ONYX 5 tracts · pop 6,090 5.3 Inverness Village 3 tracts · pop 8,034 5.6 Old Towne 1 tracts · pop 1,216

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