Middle Grounds Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo
Tract 39095005200 · Lucas County, OH · pop 2,964 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
The Elevated-tier score of $1/10 for census tract 39095005200 reflects conditions in the Middle Grounds neighborhood of Toledo, Ohio. That is riskier than about 74% of US census tracts.
About 46% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $756 a month against an average household income of $42,153 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Toledo and the region
Centroid at 41.6238, -83.5352 · click any tract to drill in
Why Middle Grounds scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Middle Grounds compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 36%Grade C
- 11%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 495Total filings over 15 yrs
- 6.72%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.6%Peak (2003)
- 24Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Middle Grounds. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.7%Housing insecurity
- 16.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.8%Food insecurity
- 28.5%SNAP enrollment
- 14.5%Transit barriers
- 15.0%No health insurance
- 22.4%Frequent mental distress
- 40.2%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Middle Grounds
What moves this score most is economic stress at 7.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Toledo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lucas County average of 5.5 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Part of this tract, about 11% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 39095005200
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095005200?
What is the average rent in tract 39095005200?
What is the poverty rate in tract 39095005200?
How socially vulnerable is tract 39095005200?
Is tract 39095005200 considered part of Middle Grounds?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095005200?
What share of households in tract 39095005200 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 39095005200 compare to Toledo overall?
Was tract 39095005200 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Toledo
Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.