Neighborhood · Toledo, OH

Northlawn Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 6,953 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10 · range 5.8–5.9

Northlawn is a black-white neighborhood in Toledo with 3 census tracts and a population of 6,953 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 65% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 47% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $963/month sits 7% higher than the Toledo citywide average ($901).

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

3 tracts · population-weighted

Northlawn vs Toledo How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

65.4% +130%

Toledo: 28.4%

Average gross rent

$963 +7%

Toledo: $901

Average HH income

$31,230 -34%

Toledo: $47,532

Poverty rate

46.1% +88%

Toledo: 24.5%

Renter share

37.2% -20%

Toledo: 46.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Northlawn and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5.8–5.9

Why Northlawn scores 5.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts

2.4

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts

5.8

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Rent control risk

65% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

37% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Economic stress

46.1% below poverty line · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts

10.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.3–4.7 across tracts

4.1

Risk score comparison

Northlawn vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Northlawn?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.1 points from 5.8 to 5.9. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

5.9 5.8 5.8

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Northlawn

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
39095001002	5.9	2,480	56%	$997
39095001100	5.8	2,414	74%	$872
39095000900	5.8	2,059	67%	$1,029

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 80

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 88%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 91%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 83%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 26%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Northlawn

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,729Total filings (sum)
14.38%Avg annual filing rate
27.4%Peak year (2006)
12.55%Latest filed (2018)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Northlawn

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

31.9%Housing insecurity
27.2%Utility shutoff threat
43.4%Food insecurity
46.6%SNAP enrollment
15.9%No health insurance
44.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Northlawn

What is the eviction-risk score for Northlawn?

Northlawn scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Northlawn compare to Toledo overall?

Northlawn scores 2.5 points higher than Toledo overall (3.3/10). Renters spend 65% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $963 vs $901.

What is the average rent in Northlawn?

Average gross rent in Northlawn is $963/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Northlawn residents are renters?

37% of Northlawn households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in Toledo). The neighborhood has 6,953 residents.

Is Northlawn a high social-vulnerability area?

Northlawn sits in the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Northlawn have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Northlawn is census tract 39095001002 (score 5.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.8 to 5.9, a spread of 0.1 points.

How safe is Northlawn for landlords?

Northlawn carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Toledo as a whole (3.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Northlawn?

Northlawn has 7,041 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (56.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (24.6%), Hispanic / Latino (9.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Northlawn

5.4 Birckhead Place 3 tracts · pop 5,342 5.8 Bush Street Historic District 2 tracts · pop 3,399 4.5 Five Points 2 tracts · pop 6,616 5.8 Northriver 2 tracts · pop 4,260 4.7 Old West End 2 tracts · pop 4,124 4.9 North Towne 3 tracts · pop 7,166

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Toledo

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Northlawn.

5.8 Northriver 2 tracts · pop 4,260 5.8 River East 2 tracts · pop 5,424 5.8 Vistula Historic District 1 tracts · pop 1,763 5.8 Bush Street Historic District 2 tracts · pop 3,399 5.7 Birckhead Place 3 tracts · pop 5,342 5.7 Roosevelt 2 tracts · pop 2,547

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