Within neighborhood
80
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Walnut Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton
Tract 39113003100 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 3,087 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 39113003100 sits in the Walnut Hills area of Dayton eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5/10. Population here is 3,087. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,478
Renter share54.3%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate21.5%
Median income$59,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
16
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dayton and the region
Centroid at 39.7262, -84.1469 · click any tract to drill in
Why Walnut Hills scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
21.5% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$695 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5
How Walnut Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 44%Grade B
- 46%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 415Total filings over 17 yrs
- 2.98%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.2%Peak (2011)
- 29Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 38% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Walnut Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.4%Housing insecurity
- 10.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.0%Food insecurity
- 17.4%SNAP enrollment
- 9.8%Transit barriers
- 8.8%No health insurance
- 19.5%Frequent mental distress
- 35.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Walnut Hills
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Average gross rent is $695, 24% below the Dayton average. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 415 filings here across 17 tracked years. Against the Montgomery County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.
The worst year on record was 2011, when 4.2% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113003100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113003100?
Census tract 39113003100 in the Walnut Hills neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113003100?
Median gross rent is $695/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113003100?
21.5% of residents in tract 39113003100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,087.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113003100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 74th, minority 25th, housing 42th.
Q5
Is tract 39113003100 considered part of Walnut Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113003100 fall within Walnut Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113003100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 415 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113003100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.98% of renter households, peaking at 4.2% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39113003100 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39113003100 compare to Dayton overall?
Tract 39113003100 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39113003100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dayton
Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Dunbar Historic District
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39113000100
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Kossuth Colony Historic District
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/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113000200
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/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Kossuth Colony Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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West Third Street Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113000400
5.4
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