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Neighborhood · Broken Arrow, OK

South Fork Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 2,653 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

South Fork is a one-tract neighborhood of Broken Arrow, OK, population 2,653. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, in the Lower tier. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1/10. Running cool is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10. Against a Broken Arrow baseline of 27.0%, roughly one in three of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Severe burden reaches 9%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The voucher gap is 10.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

That places it #9 of 32 neighborhoods in Broken Arrow. For a like-for-like read, Saddleback and Spring Lake Addition score within a fraction of it.

Rent takes 17% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $1,308, close to the Broken Arrow average.

35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
South Fork vs Broken Arrow How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
33.2% +23%
Broken Arrow: 27.0%
Average gross rent
$1,308 -1%
Broken Arrow: $1,320
Average HH income
$90,319 +6%
Broken Arrow: $85,220
Poverty rate
2.4% -73%
Broken Arrow: 9.0%
Renter share
34.5% +23%
Broken Arrow: 28.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Fork and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why South Fork scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Rent control risk
33% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
35% renter households · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Economic stress
2.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Risk score comparison

South Fork vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Fork score vs. parent city, state, U.S.South Fork: 3.03.0South ForkNeighborhoodParent city: 3.23.2Parent cityhost cityState: 3.53.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in South Fork

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
40143007535 3 2,653 33% $1,308
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 28

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 21%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 53%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 28%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Fork

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About South Fork

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Fork?

South Fork scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Fork compare to Broken Arrow overall?

South Fork scores 0.2 points lower than Broken Arrow overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 33% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,308 vs $1,320.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Fork?

Average gross rent in South Fork is $1,308/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Fork residents are renters?

35% of South Fork households are renter-occupied (vs 28% in Broken Arrow). The neighborhood has 2,653 residents.
Q5

Is South Fork a high social-vulnerability area?

South Fork sits in the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is South Fork for landlords?

South Fork carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Broken Arrow as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of South Fork?

South Fork has 2,770 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (63.6%), Hispanic / Latino (18.3%), Other / Multiracial (12.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Fork

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Broken Arrow

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Fork.

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