Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Union Station South Eviction Risk: Lower , Broken Arrow
Tract 40143007519 · Tulsa County, OK · pop 3,950 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 40143007519 sits in the Union Station South area of Broken Arrow eviction risk, OK, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. The voucher gap is 38.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,221
Renter share10.6%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate4.6%
Median income$101,725
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Broken Arrow and the region
Centroid at 36.0392, -95.8242 · click any tract to drill in
Why Union Station South scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.6% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,638 rent vs county FMR
8.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
How Union Station South compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 42%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Union Station South. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.8%Housing insecurity
- 7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.2%Food insecurity
- 7.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 31.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Union Station South
Cost burden runs about a quarter here against 40.3% across Tulsa County. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.9/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.1/10. At $1,638 a month, rents run 24% over what the rest of Broken Arrow commands.
Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. SNAP participation runs 7.9% against 15.2% nationally.
Against the Tulsa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 4.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $101,725.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 40143007519
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40143007519?
Census tract 40143007519 in the Union Station South neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 40143007519?
Median gross rent is $1,638/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 40143007519?
4.6% of residents in tract 40143007519 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,950.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 40143007519?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 50th, minority 43th, housing 33th.
Q5
Is tract 40143007519 considered part of Union Station South?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40143007519 fall within Union Station South (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 40143007519 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 40143007519 compare to Broken Arrow overall?
Tract 40143007519 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Broken Arrow at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Broken Arrow
Top eight tracts in Broken Arrow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OK
Oak Creek Park Extended
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OK
Oak Creek Park Extended
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OK
40143007414
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OK
Stonegate
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OK
Oak Grove Addition
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OK
40143007510
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OK
Woodland Trails
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OK
Hartford Park
3.4
/ 10 · Low
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