Prospect Homes Eviction Risk: Elevated , Johnstown
Tract 42021000100 · Cambria County, PA · pop 978 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
The Prospect Homes neighborhood of Johnstown is where census tract 42021000100 sits, home to 978 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.1/10. That is riskier than about 77% of US census tracts.
45% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $382 a month against an average household income of $13,870 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 97% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Johnstown and the region
Centroid at 40.3260, -78.9211 · click any tract to drill in
Why Prospect Homes scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Prospect Homes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 36%Grade C
- 8%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 10Total filings over 1 yrs
- 1.11%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.1%Peak (2006)
- 10Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Prospect Homes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Prospect Homes
The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Johnstown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cambria County average of 4.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 10 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 1.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.1% of renter households in 2006.
Part of this tract, about 8% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 42021000100
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42021000100?
What is the average rent in tract 42021000100?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42021000100?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42021000100?
Is tract 42021000100 considered part of Prospect Homes?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42021000100?
How does tract 42021000100 compare to Johnstown overall?
Was tract 42021000100 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Johnstown
Top eight tracts in Johnstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.