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Census Tract · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally

Chester Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 42045405100 · Delaware County, PA · pop 2,041

Chester in Delaware County is where census tract 42045405100 sits, home to 2,041 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.8/10. It lands near the 91st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 41% of renter households, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,125 a month while the average household earns $49,222 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 28% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units902
Renter share47.3%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate25.1%
Median income$49,222

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 12 tracts In Chester
Low
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#13 of 152 tracts In Delaware County
Very High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#370 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
National
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#9,878 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chester and the region

Centroid at 39.8483, -75.3770 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chester scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chester
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
25.1% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,125 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chester
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chester
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chester
8.8

How Chester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chester risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.26.2This tracttract 405100Chester: 4.64.6Chesterparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 404Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 14.72%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.0%Peak (2000)
  • 51Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420454051002000: 78 filings (20.00/100 renter HHs)2001: 34 filings (8.72/100 renter HHs)2002: 70 filings (17.95/100 renter HHs)2003: 55 filings (14.10/100 renter HHs)2004: 61 filings (15.64/100 renter HHs)2005: 55 filings (13.82/100 renter HHs)2006: 51 filings (12.81/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 35% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chester

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Delaware County average of 5.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 404 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 14.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 20.0% of renter households in 2000.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42045405100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42045405100?

Census tract 42045405100 in Chester scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42045405100?

Median gross rent is $1,125/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42045405100?

25.1% of residents in tract 42045405100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,041.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42045405100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 98th, minority 99th, housing 21th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42045405100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 404 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42045405100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.72% of renter households, peaking at 20.0% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 42045405100 compare to Chester overall?

Tract 42045405100 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Chester at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 42045405100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chester

Top eight tracts in Chester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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