Chester Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 42045405100 · Delaware County, PA · pop 2,041
Tract 42045405100 sits in Chester eviction risk, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.8/10. Population here is 2,041. It sits 3.1 points above the Delaware County average of 4.7.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Chester and the region
Centroid at 39.8483, -75.3770 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chester scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Chester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 21%Grade B
- 16%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 404Total filings over 7 yrs
- 14.72%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.0%Peak (2000)
- 51Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Chester
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.8/10.
41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Delaware County average of 50.9%. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Court records carry 404 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Filings peaked in 2000 at 20.0% of renter households.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chester. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 14.7% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #9,043 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 3.2 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 42045405100
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42045405100?
What is the average rent in tract 42045405100?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42045405100?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42045405100?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42045405100?
How does tract 42045405100 compare to Chester overall?
Was tract 42045405100 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Chester
Top eight tracts in Chester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.