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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

Mussertown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lancaster

Tract 42071000900 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 3,302 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 42071000900 covers part of the Mussertown area of Lancaster, PA, and scores 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 62% here against 41.1% across Lancaster County.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 24% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,226
Renter share64.8%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate37.4%
Median income$26,400

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Mussertown
Moderate
Within parent city
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 21 tracts In Lancaster
Elevated
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 116 tracts In Lancaster County
Very High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#436 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lancaster and the region

Centroid at 40.0356, -76.3008 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mussertown scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
37.4% poverty · this tract
9.3
Supply constraint
$909 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
6.9

How Mussertown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mussertown risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.6This tracttract 0009005.2Lancasterparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,061Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 15.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.1%Peak (2006)
  • 178Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42071000900
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mussertown

Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. Against the Lancaster County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.4 points.

Running hot, economic stress reads 9.3/10. Set annual rent against average income of $26,400 and the ratio lands at 41%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The poverty rate is 37%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. At $909 a month, rents run 27% under what the rest of Lancaster commands.

The filing record is not thin: 1,061 evictions over 7 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2006, when 17.1% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lancaster. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42071000900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071000900?

Census tract 42071000900 in the Mussertown neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42071000900?

Median gross rent is $909/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42071000900?

37.4% of residents in tract 42071000900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,302.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42071000900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 99th, minority 84th, housing 85th.
Q5

Is tract 42071000900 considered part of Mussertown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071000900 fall within Mussertown (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071000900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,061 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42071000900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.64% of renter households, peaking at 17.1% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42071000900 compare to Lancaster overall?

Tract 42071000900 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lancaster at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42071000900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 17% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster

Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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