Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally
Conestoga Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lancaster
Tract 42071014700 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 4,470 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 42071014700 covers part of the Conestoga Heights area of Lancaster, PA, and scores 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,217
Renter share58.3%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate15.8%
Median income$51,198
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lancaster and the region
Centroid at 40.0256, -76.2906 · click any tract to drill in
Why Conestoga Heights scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
15.8% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,143 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
6.9
How Conestoga Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 21%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 9%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 695Total filings over 7 yrs
- 14.54%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.6%Peak (2003)
- 104Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Conestoga Heights
Against the Lancaster County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.4 points. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 49% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Lancaster County average of 41.1%.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10. Court records carry 695 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
On the high side, housing-court posture reads 6.9/10. Filings peaked in 2003 at 16.6% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lancaster. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 14.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #14,906 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 9.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42071014700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071014700?
Census tract 42071014700 in the Conestoga Heights neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42071014700?
Median gross rent is $1,143/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42071014700?
15.8% of residents in tract 42071014700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,470.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42071014700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 99th, minority 94th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 42071014700 considered part of Conestoga Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071014700 fall within Conestoga Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071014700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 695 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42071014700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.54% of renter households, peaking at 16.6% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42071014700 compare to Lancaster overall?
Tract 42071014700 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lancaster at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42071014700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 9% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster
Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Mussertown
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Cabbage Hill
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
West End
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Prospect Heights
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Southside
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Central Business District
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Ross
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Stevens
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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