Prospect Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lancaster

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. It sits 2.4 points above the Lancaster County average of 4.2. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.8/10.

The filing record is not thin: 190 evictions over 7 years of observation. At $1,090 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Lancaster commands.

The worst year on record was 2006, when 9.6% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lancaster. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 5.8% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.