Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally
Prospect Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lancaster
Tract 42071001200 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 5,689 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
Tract 42071001200, home to 5,689 residents in the Prospect Heights neighborhood of Lancaster, scores 6.1/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
72% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,090 a month against an average household income of $58,407 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 30% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,885
Renter share29.8%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate17.8%
Median income$58,407
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lancaster and the region
Centroid at 40.0247, -76.3161 · click any tract to drill in
Why Prospect Heights scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
17.8% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,090 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
6.9
How Prospect Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 11%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 190Total filings over 7 yrs
- 5.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.6%Peak (2006)
- 48Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 167% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Prospect Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Prospect Heights
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lancaster County average of 5.3 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42071001200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071001200?
Census tract 42071001200 in the Prospect Heights neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42071001200?
Median gross rent is $1,090/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42071001200?
17.8% of residents in tract 42071001200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,689.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42071001200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 72th, minority 83th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 42071001200 considered part of Prospect Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071001200 fall within Prospect Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071001200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 190 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42071001200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.82% of renter households, peaking at 9.6% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42071001200 compare to Lancaster overall?
Tract 42071001200 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Lancaster at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42071001200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster
Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Mussertown
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Stevens
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Cabbage Hill
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Southside
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Ross
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Conestoga Heights
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
West End
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Central Business District
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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