Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,456 of 84,120 nationally
Southside Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lancaster
Tract 42071001400 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 5,172 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
The Elevated-tier score of 6.2/10 for census tract 42071001400 reflects conditions in Southside in Lancaster, Pennsylvania. It lands near the 80th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,281 a month while the average household earns $51,989 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,690
Renter share43.3%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate26.6%
Median income$51,989
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
85
th percentile
High
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lancaster and the region
Centroid at 40.0303, -76.3083 · click any tract to drill in
Why Southside scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
26.6% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$1,281 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
6.9
How Southside compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 41%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,481Total filings over 7 yrs
- 26.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 28.5%Peak (2004)
- 223Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 19% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Southside
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lancaster County average of 5.3 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,481 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 26.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 28.5% of renter households in 2004.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42071001400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071001400?
Census tract 42071001400 in the Southside neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42071001400?
Median gross rent is $1,281/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42071001400?
26.6% of residents in tract 42071001400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,172.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42071001400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 88th, minority 81th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 42071001400 considered part of Southside?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071001400 fall within Southside (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071001400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,481 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42071001400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 26.32% of renter households, peaking at 28.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42071001400 compare to Lancaster overall?
Tract 42071001400 scores 6.5/10, higher than the parent city of Lancaster at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42071001400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster
Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Mussertown
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Stevens
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Cabbage Hill
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Ross
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Prospect Heights
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Conestoga Heights
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
West End
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Central Business District
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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