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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

Southside Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lancaster

Tract 42071001400 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 5,172 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 42071001400 covers part of the Southside area of Lancaster, PA, and scores 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,172 residents. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 25% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,690
Renter share43.3%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate26.6%
Median income$51,989

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Southside
Moderate
Within parent city
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 21 tracts In Lancaster
Elevated
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 116 tracts In Lancaster County
Very High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#436 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lancaster and the region

Centroid at 40.0303, -76.3083 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southside scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
26.6% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$1,281 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
6.9

How Southside compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southside risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.6This tracttract 0014005.2Lancasterparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,481Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 26.32%Avg annual filing rate
  • 28.5%Peak (2004)
  • 223Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42071001400
Filings climbed 19% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southside

Against the Lancaster County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.4 points. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10. The filing record is not thin: 1,481 evictions over 7 years of observation.

Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 6.9/10. Filings peaked in 2004 at 28.5% of renter households.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lancaster. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 26.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 42071001400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071001400?

Census tract 42071001400 in the Southside neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42071001400?

Median gross rent is $1,281/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42071001400?

26.6% of residents in tract 42071001400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,172.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42071001400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 88th, minority 81th, housing 67th.
Q5

Is tract 42071001400 considered part of Southside?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071001400 fall within Southside (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071001400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,481 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42071001400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 26.32% of renter households, peaking at 28.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42071001400 compare to Lancaster overall?

Tract 42071001400 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lancaster at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42071001400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster

Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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