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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Central Business District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lancaster

Tract 42071000100 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 2,464 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

In the Central Business District neighborhood of Lancaster, census tract 42071000100 scores 5.7/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 63% of US census tracts.

About 40% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,096 a month while the average household earns $49,509 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 85% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 51% Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units1,429
Renter share84.8%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate13.9%
Median income$49,509

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Central Business District
Moderate
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 21 tracts In Lancaster
Elevated
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 116 tracts In Lancaster County
Very High
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#653 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lancaster and the region

Centroid at 40.0395, -76.3062 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Business District scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
13.9% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,096 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
6.9

How Central Business District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Central Business District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 000100Lancaster: 4.14.1Lancasterparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,105Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 15.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.8%Peak (2000)
  • 169Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420710001002000: 176 filings (15.76/100 renter HHs)2001: 170 filings (15.22/100 renter HHs)2002: 157 filings (14.06/100 renter HHs)2003: 127 filings (11.37/100 renter HHs)2004: 140 filings (12.53/100 renter HHs)2005: 166 filings (18.76/100 renter HHs)2006: 169 filings (19.10/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Business District

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lancaster County average of 5.3 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,105 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 15.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 15.8% of renter households in 2000.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42071000100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071000100?

Census tract 42071000100 in the Central Business District neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42071000100?

Median gross rent is $1,096/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42071000100?

13.9% of residents in tract 42071000100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,464.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42071000100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 60th, minority 69th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 42071000100 considered part of Central Business District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071000100 fall within Central Business District (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071000100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,105 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42071000100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.26% of renter households, peaking at 15.8% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42071000100 compare to Lancaster overall?

Tract 42071000100 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Lancaster at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42071000100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster

Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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