Central Business District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lancaster
Tract 42071000100 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 2,464 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 42071000100 covers part of the Central Business District area of Lancaster, PA, and scores 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Lancaster and the region
Centroid at 40.0395, -76.3062 · click any tract to drill in
Why Central Business District scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Central Business District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 7%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,105Total filings over 7 yrs
- 15.26%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.8%Peak (2000)
- 169Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
What drives eviction risk in Central Business District
Against the Lancaster County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.4 points. 85% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,105 filings here across 7 tracked years.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.9/10. At $1,096 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Lancaster commands. Filings peaked in 2000 at 15.8% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 15.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #14,906 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.6/10. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 40% of renters.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 42071000100
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071000100?
What is the average rent in tract 42071000100?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42071000100?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42071000100?
Is tract 42071000100 considered part of Central Business District?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071000100?
How does tract 42071000100 compare to Lancaster overall?
Was tract 42071000100 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster
Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.