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Neighborhood · Ranked #5,690 of 84,120 nationally

Stevens Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lancaster

Tract 42071000800 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 3,989 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

How risky is the Stevens area of Lancaster for landlords? Census tract 42071000800 scores 6.4/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

38% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,010 a month against an average household income of $44,333 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 54% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 33% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,188
Renter share53.9%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate38.9%
Median income$44,333

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Stevens
Moderate
Within parent city
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 21 tracts In Lancaster
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 116 tracts In Lancaster County
Very High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#145 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lancaster and the region

Centroid at 40.0331, -76.2892 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stevens scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
38.9% poverty · this tract
9.7
Supply constraint
$1,010 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
6.9

How Stevens compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Stevens risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.86.8This tracttract 000800Lancaster: 4.14.1Lancasterparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 523Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 9.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.7%Peak (2004)
  • 77Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420710008002000: 65 filings (8.41/100 renter HHs)2001: 63 filings (8.15/100 renter HHs)2002: 69 filings (8.92/100 renter HHs)2003: 69 filings (8.92/100 renter HHs)2004: 98 filings (12.68/100 renter HHs)2005: 82 filings (11.74/100 renter HHs)2006: 77 filings (11.02/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 18% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Stevens

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lancaster County average of 5.3 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 523 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 10.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.7% of renter households in 2004.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42071000800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071000800?

Census tract 42071000800 in the Stevens neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42071000800?

Median gross rent is $1,010/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42071000800?

38.9% of residents in tract 42071000800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,989.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42071000800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 98th, minority 83th, housing 69th.
Q5

Is tract 42071000800 considered part of Stevens?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071000800 fall within Stevens (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071000800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 523 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42071000800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.98% of renter households, peaking at 12.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42071000800 compare to Lancaster overall?

Tract 42071000800 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of Lancaster at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42071000800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster

Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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