West End Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lancaster

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. Against the Lancaster County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.4 points.

Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 407 filings here across 7 tracked years. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 6.9/10. The worst year on record was 2006, when 13.8% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lancaster. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 11.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.