Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally
Buchanan Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bethlehem
Tract 42077009100 · Lehigh County, PA · pop 3,760 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
In the Buchanan Park neighborhood of Bethlehem, census tract 42077009100 scores 6.4/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,322 a month against an average household income of $73,797 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,684
Renter share46.7%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$73,797
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
22
th percentile
Low
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bethlehem and the region
Centroid at 40.6410, -75.4088 · click any tract to drill in
Why Buchanan Park scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bethlehem
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,322 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethlehem
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethlehem
7.1
How Buchanan Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 62Total filings over 7 yrs
- 1.42%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.0%Peak (2006)
- 13Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 160% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Buchanan Park
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bethlehem eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lehigh County average of 5.8 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 62 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 1.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.0% of renter households in 2006.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42077009100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42077009100?
Census tract 42077009100 in the Buchanan Park neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42077009100?
Median gross rent is $1,322/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42077009100?
6.6% of residents in tract 42077009100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,760.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42077009100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 46th, minority 41th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 42077009100 considered part of Buchanan Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42077009100 fall within Buchanan Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42077009100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 62 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42077009100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.42% of renter households, peaking at 2.0% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42077009100 compare to Bethlehem overall?
Tract 42077009100 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Bethlehem at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethlehem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42077009100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bethlehem
Top eight tracts in Bethlehem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Sayre Park
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Clearfield Terrace
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Historic South Bethlehem
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Historic Bethlehem
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Elliott Heights
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
South Side
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Central Bethlehem
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
West Bethlehem
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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