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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Royal Square District Eviction Risk: Elevated , York

Tract 42133000300 · York County, PA · pop 2,456 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 42133000300 sits in the Royal Square District area of York eviction risk, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.3/10. Cost burden runs 75% here against 42.6% across York County.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 62% Stable renters 20% Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units1,036
Renter share81.9%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate36.1%
Median income$29,106

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Royal Square District
Low
Within parent city
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 17 tracts In York
Low
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#11 of 108 tracts In York County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#207 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across York and the region

Centroid at 39.9694, -76.7169 · click any tract to drill in

Why Royal Square District scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from York
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
36.1% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$926 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from York
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from York
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from York
7.7

How Royal Square District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Royal Square District risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.3This tracttract 0003005.9Yorkparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 791Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 24.79%Avg annual filing rate
  • 36.5%Peak (2006)
  • 155Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42133000300
Filings climbed 63% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Royal Square District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Royal Square District

Severe burden reaches 37%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the York County average of 4.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.9 points. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.2/10. The poverty rate is 36%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

This is renter territory: 82% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $29,106, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the high side, economic stress reads 9/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 791 filings here across 7 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2006, when 36.5% of renter households were served.

At $926 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of York commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 24.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #11,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 42133000300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42133000300?

Census tract 42133000300 in the Royal Square District neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42133000300?

Median gross rent is $926/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42133000300?

36.1% of residents in tract 42133000300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,456.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42133000300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 94th, minority 84th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 42133000300 considered part of Royal Square District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42133000300 fall within Royal Square District (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42133000300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 791 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42133000300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.79% of renter households, peaking at 36.5% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42133000300 compare to York overall?

Tract 42133000300 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of York at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from York eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42133000300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 30% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in York

Top eight tracts in York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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