Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #5,198 of 84,120 nationally
Royal Square District Eviction Risk: Elevated , York
Tract 42133000200 · York County, PA · pop 3,055 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 42133000200 covers the Royal Square District neighborhood of York, home to 3,055 residents. For landlords it grades 7.1/10, an elevated reading. It lands near the 95th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
52% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $889 a month against an average household income of $32,405 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 67% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,139
Renter share67.3%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate36.5%
Median income$32,405
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across York and the region
Centroid at 39.9643, -76.7215 · click any tract to drill in
Why Royal Square District scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from York
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
36.5% poverty · this tract
9.1
Supply constraint
$889 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from York
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from York
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from York
7.7
How Royal Square District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 64%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,013Total filings over 7 yrs
- 19.29%Avg annual filing rate
- 26.2%Peak (2006)
- 177Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 30% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Royal Square District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Royal Square District
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from York eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the York County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 64% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42133000200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42133000200?
Census tract 42133000200 in the Royal Square District neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42133000200?
Median gross rent is $889/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42133000200?
36.5% of residents in tract 42133000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,055.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42133000200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 94th, minority 69th, housing 83th.
Q5
Is tract 42133000200 considered part of Royal Square District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42133000200 fall within Royal Square District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42133000200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,013 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42133000200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.29% of renter households, peaking at 26.2% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42133000200 compare to York overall?
Tract 42133000200 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of York at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from York eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42133000200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 64% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in York
Top eight tracts in York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Royal Square District
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
McClellan Heights
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Northwest Triangle
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
WeCo District
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Elmwood
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
WeCo District
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Park Village
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Elmwood
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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