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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Royal Square District Eviction Risk: Elevated , York

Tract 42133000200 · York County, PA · pop 3,055 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

42133000200 is a census tract in the Royal Square District area of York, PA. It scores 7.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,055 residents. It sits 2.9 points above the York County average of 4.4.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 32% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,139
Renter share67.3%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate36.5%
Median income$32,405

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Royal Square District
Elevated
Within parent city
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 17 tracts In York
Moderate
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#10 of 108 tracts In York County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#207 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across York and the region

Centroid at 39.9643, -76.7215 · click any tract to drill in

Why Royal Square District scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from York
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
36.5% poverty · this tract
9.1
Supply constraint
$889 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from York
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from York
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from York
7.7

How Royal Square District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Royal Square District risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.3This tracttract 0002005.9Yorkparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,013Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 19.29%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.2%Peak (2006)
  • 177Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42133000200
Filings climbed 30% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Royal Square District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Royal Square District

Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.2/10. The poverty rate is 36%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running hot, economic stress reads 9.1/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $32,405, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Against York County at 42.6%, 52% of renters here are cost-burdened.

This is renter territory: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,013 filings here across 7 tracked years. Average gross rent is $889, 12% below the York average.

The worst year on record was 2006, when 26.2% of renter households were served.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42133000200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42133000200?

Census tract 42133000200 in the Royal Square District neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42133000200?

Median gross rent is $889/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42133000200?

36.5% of residents in tract 42133000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,055.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42133000200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 94th, minority 69th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 42133000200 considered part of Royal Square District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42133000200 fall within Royal Square District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42133000200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,013 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42133000200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.29% of renter households, peaking at 26.2% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42133000200 compare to York overall?

Tract 42133000200 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of York at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from York eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42133000200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 64% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in York

Top eight tracts in York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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