Eviction Risk in The Avenues , York
Tract 42133001300 · York County, PA · pop 3,825 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 42133001300 sits in the The Avenues neighborhood of York, Pennsylvania. It has a population of 3,825 and an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). 28% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 10% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,236/month against a median household income of $73,333 — roughly 20% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
White-Hispanic Neighborhood — 3,649 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 32.1%
- White (non-Hispanic) 39.8%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 21.6%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 1.1%
- Other / Multiracial 5.4%
How the 5.6/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 9.2 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 3.4 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 3.8 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 4.4 | York (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 7.0 | York (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 3.5 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 9.5 | York (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 7.7 | York (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 1.9 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 4.2 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 436Total filings over 7 yrs
- 11.30%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.4%Peak (2004)
- 66Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Avenues. Closest by composite score.
Dominant grade: C — definitely declining
Approximately 51% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in York. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
- 0.0%A (Best)
- 23.2%B (Desirable)
- 27.7%C (Declining)
- 0.0%D (Redlined)
Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.
About tract 42133001300
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42133001300?
Census tract 42133001300 in the The Avenues neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 42133001300?
Median gross rent is $1,236/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 42133001300?
7.6% of residents in tract 42133001300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,825.
How socially vulnerable is tract 42133001300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 67th, minority 67th, housing 64th.
Is tract 42133001300 considered part of The Avenues?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42133001300 fall within The Avenues (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42133001300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 436 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42133001300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.30% of renter households, peaking at 13.4% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Was tract 42133001300 redlined?
The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is C (Definitely Declining). Roughly 0% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in York. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.