Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Blackstone Eviction Risk: Moderate , Providence
Tract 44007003400 · Providence County, RI · pop 5,047 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
44007003400 is a census tract in the Blackstone area of Providence, RI. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,047 residents. Average gross rent is $1,938, 38% above the Providence average.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units2,126
Renter share27.3%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate2.1%
Median income$186,827
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Providence and the region
Centroid at 41.8405, -71.3793 · click any tract to drill in
Why Blackstone scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Providence
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
2.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,938 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Providence
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Providence
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Providence
6.5
How Blackstone compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 5%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 51%Grade A
- 5%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 4Total filings over 2 yrs
- 0.61%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.4%Peak (2015)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 28Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.24×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Blackstone. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.5%Housing insecurity
- 3.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.4%Food insecurity
- 3.9%SNAP enrollment
- 3.5%Transit barriers
- 3.2%No health insurance
- 12.0%Frequent mental distress
- 20.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Blackstone
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
The voucher gap is 20.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10.
SNAP participation runs 3.9% against 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Housing insecurity runs 5.5% against 14.2% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 4 filings here across 2 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2015, when 0.4% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 0.6% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007003400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007003400?
Census tract 44007003400 in the Blackstone neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007003400?
Median gross rent is $1,938/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007003400?
2.1% of residents in tract 44007003400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,047.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007003400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 20th, minority 41th, housing 52th.
Q5
Is tract 44007003400 considered part of Blackstone?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007003400 fall within Blackstone (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007003400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007003400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.61% of renter households, peaking at 0.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007003400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.24× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007003400 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007003400 compare to Providence overall?
Tract 44007003400 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Providence at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007003400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Providence
Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
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Manton
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Stimson Avenue Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Providence Jewelry Manufacturing Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Downtown
8
/ 10 · High
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Federal Hill
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Federal Hill
8
/ 10 · High
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