Neighborhood · Ranked #31,320 of 84,120 nationally

Elmwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Providence

Tract 44007014100 · Providence County, RI · pop 4,572 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 44007014100 sits in the Elmwood neighborhood of Providence, Rhode Island. It has a population of 4,572 and an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). 41% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 14% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $928/month against a median household income of $66,726 — roughly 17% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 32% Owners 46%

Tract context

Occupied units1,808

Renter share53.7%

SVI overall0.86

Poverty rate12.4%

Median income$66,726

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Providence and the region

Centroid at 41.7993, -71.4438 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elmwood scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Providence

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

Rhode Island legislature & governorship

5.5

Economic stress

12.4% poverty · this tract

3.1

Supply constraint

$928 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Providence

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Providence

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Providence

5.5

How Elmwood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

89%Socioeconomic
90%Household composition
81%Racial/ethnic minority
50%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C — Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
3%Grade B
97%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

83Total filings over 2 yrs
3.73%Avg annual filing rate
4.5%Peak (2016)
49Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

167Total filings 2020-21
2.2Avg monthly (observed)
3.4Pre-pandemic baseline
0.65×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 — 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elmwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.1%Housing insecurity
10.7%Utility-shutoff threat
24.0%Food insecurity
18.5%SNAP enrollment
10.7%Transit barriers
15.0%No health insurance
17.4%Frequent mental distress
31.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 44007014100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007014100?

Census tract 44007014100 in the Elmwood neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 44007014100?

Median gross rent is $928/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 44007014100?

12.4% of residents in tract 44007014100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,572.

How socially vulnerable is tract 44007014100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 90th, minority 81th, housing 50th.

Is tract 44007014100 considered part of Elmwood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007014100 fall within Elmwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007014100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 83 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007014100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.73% of renter households, peaking at 4.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 44007014100 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.65× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply — likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 44007014100 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 44007014100 compare to Providence overall?

Tract 44007014100 scores 5.6/10 — lower than the parent city of Providence at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 44007014100 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Providence

Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.