Sierra Eviction Risk: Lower , Surprise
Tract 04013040525 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,965 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 04013040525 sits in the Sierra area of Surprise eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.3/10. Population here is 2,965. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Surprise and the region
Centroid at 33.6608, -112.4270 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sierra scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Sierra compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 16%Household composition
- 6%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1Total filings over 1 yrs
- 9.48%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.5%Peak (2005)
- 1Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sierra. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 3.1%Housing insecurity
- 2.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.3%Food insecurity
- 4.7%SNAP enrollment
- 3.6%Transit barriers
- 5.0%No health insurance
- 8.3%Frequent mental distress
- 39.1%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Sierra
Cost burden runs 60% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $75,139 and the ratio lands at 40%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The voucher gap is 27.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $2,481, 22% above the Surprise average. Food insecurity runs 6.3% against 17.8% nationally.
Housing insecurity runs 3.1% against 14.2% nationally. Court records carry 1 eviction filings across 1 observed years. The worst year on record was 2005, when 9.5% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 9.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 27th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 5% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.7/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 04013040525
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013040525?
What is the average rent in tract 04013040525?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013040525?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013040525?
Is tract 04013040525 considered part of Sierra?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013040525?
What share of households in tract 04013040525 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04013040525 compare to Surprise overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Surprise
Top eight tracts in Surprise ranked by composite eviction-risk score.