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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Blue Horizons Eviction Risk: Lower , Buckeye

Tract 04013050612 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 10,837 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 04013050612 in the Blue Horizons area of Buckeye, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 10,837. Cost burden runs 10% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 8% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units3,311
Renter share8.6%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$102,563

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Blue Horizons
Moderate
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 17 tracts In Buckeye
Low
Within county
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#594 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buckeye and the region

Centroid at 33.4484, -112.4931 · click any tract to drill in

Why Blue Horizons scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buckeye
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,359 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buckeye
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buckeye
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buckeye
4.1

How Blue Horizons compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Blue Horizons risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 050612Buckeye: 3.43.4Buckeyeparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Blue Horizons

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.3/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10.

The voucher gap is 21.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. At $2,359 a month, rents run 20% over what the rest of Buckeye commands. 10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $102,563.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013050612

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013050612?

Census tract 04013050612 in the Blue Horizons neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013050612?

Median gross rent is $2,359/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 10% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013050612?

5.3% of residents in tract 04013050612 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 10,837.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013050612?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 21th, minority 77th, housing 1th.
Q5

Is tract 04013050612 considered part of Blue Horizons?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013050612 fall within Blue Horizons (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013050612 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013050612 compare to Buckeye overall?

Tract 04013050612 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Buckeye at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buckeye eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buckeye

Top eight tracts in Buckeye ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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