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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally

Montiere Eviction Risk: Lower , Buckeye

Tract 04013050621 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 7,820 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 04013050621 runs through Montiere in Buckeye. With 7,820 residents, it scores 5.1/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 36% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,417 a month against an average household income of $91,552 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 7% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 5% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units2,562
Renter share7.5%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate13.1%
Median income$91,552

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Montiere
Moderate
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 17 tracts In Buckeye
High
Within county
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#592 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#1,206 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buckeye and the region

Centroid at 33.5422, -112.7460 · click any tract to drill in

Why Montiere scores 2.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buckeye
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
13.1% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,417 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buckeye
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buckeye
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buckeye
4.1

How Montiere compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Montiere risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.72.7This tracttract 050621Buckeye: 2.52.5Buckeyeparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Montiere

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 4.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Buckeye eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013050621

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013050621?

Census tract 04013050621 in the Montiere neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013050621?

Median gross rent is $1,417/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013050621?

13.1% of residents in tract 04013050621 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,820.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013050621?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 52th, minority 72th, housing 21th.
Q5

Is tract 04013050621 considered part of Montiere?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013050621 fall within Montiere (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013050621 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013050621 compare to Buckeye overall?

Tract 04013050621 scores 2.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Buckeye at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buckeye eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buckeye

Top eight tracts in Buckeye ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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