Ashton Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Surprise
Tract 04013061034 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 8,334 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 04013061034 covers part of the Ashton Ranch area of Surprise, AZ, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 8,334. around two-thirds of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Surprise and the region
Centroid at 33.6165, -112.3679 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ashton Ranch scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Ashton Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 29%Socioeconomic
- 33%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 15Total filings over 2 yrs
- 112.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 34.4%Peak (2005)
- 13Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.8%Food insecurity
- 8.5%SNAP enrollment
- 7.5%Transit barriers
- 10.2%No health insurance
- 16.0%Frequent mental distress
- 25.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Ashton Ranch
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10.
Court records carry 15 eviction filings across 2 observed years. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7.
Average gross rent is $1,841, 9% below the Surprise average. The worst year on record was 2005, when 34.4% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 112.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $94,458. 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 04013061034
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061034?
What is the average rent in tract 04013061034?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061034?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061034?
Is tract 04013061034 considered part of Ashton Ranch?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061034?
What share of households in tract 04013061034 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04013061034 compare to Surprise overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Surprise
Top eight tracts in Surprise ranked by composite eviction-risk score.